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Observations of the ice–bed boundary — basal water pressure and bed uplift — used together with weather and melt observations and the glacier-speed history.
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Glacier acceleration: skill in predicting acceleration on events not used to build the prediction, and the lead time between the onset of change at the ice–bed boundary and the onset of acceleration.
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Grounded outlet glaciers, at the contact between grounded ice and its bed, during acceleration events driven by surface meltwater or rain reaching the bed.
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For grounded outlet glaciers whose flow responds to surface meltwater or rain reaching the bed, do observations of the ice–bed boundary (basal water pressure and bed uplift), added to weather and melt observations and the glacier-speed history, predict glacier acceleration earlier and more skilfully than the speed history alone or the speed history with weather and melt? The key question is whether boundary observations change before acceleration, providing genuine lead time, rather than at the same moment as speed. Question proposed by [name to be added with the researcher's agreement].
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Do basal water pressure and uplift give an earlier and better signal of glacier acceleration than ice speed?
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Anne Fouilloux
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Do basal water pressure and uplift give an earlier and better signal of glacier acceleration than ice speed?
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