Nanopublication

ID

https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RABeytsVYYMfRz_Jb3O__naWSg8Z63WTnQsofidkdrVvk
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Content

@prefix this: <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RABeytsVYYMfRz_Jb3O__naWSg8Z63WTnQsofidkdrVvk> .
@prefix sub: <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RABeytsVYYMfRz_Jb3O__naWSg8Z63WTnQsofidkdrVvk/> .
@prefix np: <http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#> .
@prefix rdf: <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#> .
@prefix prov: <http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#> .
@prefix npx: <http://purl.org/nanopub/x/> .
@prefix dc: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .

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sub:assertion {
  sub:soroye-python-port-phase2-outcome a <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/FORRT-Replication-Outcome>;
    <http://schema.org/endDate> "2026-04-23"^^xsd:date;
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Soroye 2020 thermal-exposure → extirpation claim is robust to a Python re-implementation ";
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasConclusionDescription> "The Python re-implementation of Soroye et al. 2020's pipeline applied to the authors' own dataset reproduces the headline thermal-exposure → extirpation relationship: the standardised TEI-delta coefficient is positive and highly significant in both a plain logistic regression and a mixed-effects model with species random effect. The sign and significance match the direction reported in the original paper. The claim is therefore robust to a complete change of analysis software stack (R → Python, lme4/MCMCglmm → statsmodels variational Bayes). ";
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasConfidenceLevel> <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/HighConfidence>;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasEvidenceDescription> "Mixed-effects logistic GLMM (statsmodels.BinomialBayesMixedGLM, variational Bayes) on 13,614 species × cell observations across 66 Bombus species over North America and Europe yielded sc_TEI_delta = +0.1528 with 95% credible interval [0.116, 0.189], unambiguously positive. A plain logistic regression on the same data gave sc_TEI_delta = +0.2466 (p = 4×10⁻²¹). The hot-edge × thermal-change interaction (sc_TEI_bs × sc_TEI_delta) is also positive at +0.13, consistent with Soroye's prediction that species near their warm range limit are more vulnerable. ";
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasLimitationsDescription> """(i) Variational Bayes posterior may underestimate credible-interval width by approximately 10–20% relative to full MCMC; tight CI claims would be more conservative under full MCMC.                                                                                                                                
(ii) The exact climateLimits[[1]]/[[2]] precomputation script is not in the public Figshare release and was reconstructed from the available R helper scripts; this can shift absolute coefficient magnitudes but does not alter the qualitative direction.                                                             
(iii) The 13,614-row analysis subset is determined by Soroye's filter (cells with valid baseline + recent observations) and inevitably excludes regions of low sampling effort.    """;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasOutcomeRepository> <https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19756174>;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasValidationStatus> <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/Validated>;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/isOutcomeOf> <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RADLcvxDglyzEnEfAo9e6RfnXQ_YK3v_gJcnWLVBkIbP4/soroye-replication-study> .
}

sub:provenance {
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}

sub:pubinfo {
  <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920> <http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/name> "Anne Fouilloux" .
  
  this: dc:created "2026-04-25T10:44:28.546Z"^^xsd:dateTime;
    dc:creator <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920>;
    dc:license <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/>;
    npx:introduces sub:soroye-python-port-phase2-outcome;
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