https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/Head https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/assertion https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/provenance https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/pubinfo https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/assertion https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08106-4 http://purl.org/spar/cito/hasQuotedText The validation accuracy estimate of 87.9% was based on an independent set of 4.87 million random points (equally stratified with respect to the two levels of the dependent variable; further details are provided in Supplementary Information 1 and Extended Data Fig. 4). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08106-4 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment This accuracy underpins the paper's maps and area estimates, and The Unjournal's evaluators (doi:10.21428/d28e8e57.5411b150) doubted it: predictors overlap the outcome period, and random validation may overstate performance. We test it in Colombia with independent code and open data: reproducing the published figures, then validating with spatial blocks, a model trained elsewhere, independent MapBiomas labels and a forward test (2000-2012 to 2012-2024). https://w3id.org/np/o/ntemplate/CREATOR http://purl.org/spar/cito/quotes https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08106-4 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/provenance https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/assertion http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/pubinfo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/name Anne Fouilloux https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://purl.org/dc/terms/created 2026-10-04T15:46:08.230Z https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://purl.org/dc/terms/creator https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://purl.org/dc/terms/license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasNanopubType http://purl.org/spar/cito/cites https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://purl.org/nanopub/x/wasCreatedAt https://platform.sciencelive4all.org https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Paper annotation: The validation accuracy estimate of 87.9% was based on an independent set of 4.87 million random points (equally stratified with respect to the two levels of the dependent variable; further details are provided in Supplementary Information 1 and Extended Data Fig. 4). https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk https://w3id.org/np/o/ntemplate/wasCreatedFromTemplate https://w3id.org/np/RA24onqmqTMsraJ7ypYFOuckmNWpo4Zv5gsLqhXt7xYPU https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasAlgorithm RSA https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasPublicKey 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 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignature 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 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignatureTarget https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAIzfxXAB5b95Wr0YNsqBDC2dXuYLjwSpnePtLMsoKghk/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/signedBy https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920