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Social vulnerability of residents taken out of pluvial flood risk by city-wide greening in Logroño
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAvwIB_Slw-dvdK68mwuoyuuAhRF0-aAhs9TNthsKl7Lk/logrono-greening-flood-risk-vulnerability-study
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From the framework of Vogelbacher et al. (2026): (1) hazard model REACHOUT SaferRAIN (hydrostatic fill-and-spill with Green-Ampt infiltration, no sewer network, 15-minute storms) instead of VISDOM-SWMM; greening enters only as REACHOUT modelled it, as infiltration; (2) social vulnerability from census-section rates rather than the paper's counts per building, because counts per building mostly re-count residents (rank correlation 0.96 with building size in the Logroño replication); every building in a census section has the same vulnerability; (3) residents fixed at 2021; (4) comparison restricted to the area modelled by every scenario: 157 buildings (77 with residents, 1,851 residents) are left out. Data: (5) REACHOUT's all-green map for the 25-year storm under the 90th-percentile future rainfall is an empty file; that case is left out.
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAvwIB_Slw-dvdK68mwuoyuuAhRF0-aAhs9TNthsKl7Lk/logrono-greening-flood-risk-vulnerability-study
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Data and pipeline: the shared analysis Logroño flood-adaptation scenarios, release v0.1.0 (10.5281/zenodo.23298913), whose result tables this chain reads (its pipeline can be re-run from the same repository). Flood hazard: REACHOUT pluvial flood maps for Logroño (Staccione and Pal, 10.5281/zenodo.14035876), SaferRAIN, 2 m, 15-minute design storms, for the current green cover (Baseline) and all open space converted to green (Allgreen); comparison restricted to cells modelled in every scenario; flooded extents at depths of 30 to 100 cm polygonised on the native grid and water bodies removed. City inputs from the Logroño replication v0.1.1 (10.5281/zenodo.23285198). Risk: building-climate-risk v0.2.1 (10.5281/zenodo.23285504) with the paper's settings; a building is at risk when either risk index is above zero, and is taken out of risk when at risk with the current cover and not when all open space is green. Social vulnerability: the census-section-rate version of the framework's index (TOPSIS with entropy and flood-sensitivity transform), ranked over all residential buildings of the city; each building's residents get its percentile, and residents are split into five groups of equal population. Measures: per climate and return period, the share of each group's at-risk residents taken out of risk; and the resident-weighted mean vulnerability percentile of residents taken out of risk against those remaining at risk, with one-sided permutation tests in each direction (buildings shuffled between the two sets, 10,000 times, fixed seed), per climate, return period and risk index.
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Whether the residents whose buildings are taken out of pluvial flood risk when all open space in Logroño (Spain) is converted to green surfaces (REACHOUT's all-green scenario) are more or less socially vulnerable than the residents who remain at risk, compared with the current green cover under the same rainfall. In scope: every residential building inside the area modelled by all scenarios; the seven design storms (return periods of 2 to 200 years) under present and future (EURO-CORDEX median and 90th percentile) rainfall; both risk indices; social vulnerability from census-section rates (children, elderly people living alone, unemployment, residents without higher education), with residents split into five groups of equal population. Out of scope: the planned nature-based solutions (separate chain), which REACHOUT's all-green scenario does not represent; whether greening on this scale is feasible; other benefits or costs of greening; the validity of the vulnerability indicators, which no impact data can test; population change.
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAvwIB_Slw-dvdK68mwuoyuuAhRF0-aAhs9TNthsKl7Lk/logrono-greening-flood-risk-vulnerability-study
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Anne Fouilloux
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Social vulnerability of residents taken out of pluvial flood risk by city-wide greening in Logroño
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