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For each building: how deep the water gets nearby, how many people live there, and how socially vulnerable they are.\n\nHeavier rain puts more people at risk — In every case examined: a few percent more residents at risk in the middle scenario, up to about one in ten more in the high one. Today's once-in-100-years flooding could come roughly twice as often, or more. Destination Earth data support the middle scenario's order of magnitude.\n\nThe planned green measures help only a little — As REACHOUT modelled them, they cut the number of residents at risk by a few percent at most, only for frequent storms, and not at all for the biggest ones.\n\nMore green space helps — but not those who need it most — Turning all open space green takes roughly one in ten to one in five of the residents at risk out of risk, but mostly the less vulnerable; the most vulnerable fifth benefits least. They also have the least room for green: near their homes, about a quarter of the land that could be greened near the homes of the least vulnerable.\n\nWhat it means, and what it cannot say — Plan measures first where vulnerable residents are at risk. For them, greening alone will likely not be enough: storage, drainage or protecting buildings may be needed. Re-check the planned measures with a model that includes sewers. Uncertainties are large, so the direction of each finding is more reliable than its size.\n\nHeavier rain is expected; where measures are placed, and which kind, decides who they protect." } ], "https://schema.org/about": [ { "@id": "https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAT-AEOeE-pt2wTVXyagR5fa-0yPSZHW7TRVKgm7fEMTs" } ], "https://schema.org/audience": [ { "@id": "http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q2388316" } ] } ] } ]