@prefix dcterms: .
@prefix np: .
@prefix npx: .
@prefix ntemplate: .
@prefix orcid: .
@prefix prov: .
@prefix rdfs: .
@prefix schema: .
@prefix sub: .
@prefix this: .
@prefix xsd: .
sub:Head {
this: a np:Nanopublication;
np:hasAssertion sub:assertion;
np:hasProvenance sub:provenance;
np:hasPublicationInfo sub:pubinfo .
}
sub:assertion {
sub:citizens a schema:CreativeWork;
dcterms:creator orcid:0000-0002-1784-2920;
rdfs:comment """Will heavy rain flood more homes in Logroño, and do green spaces help?
For every residential building in Logroño: how many residents are at risk when a short, heavy downpour floods the streets — today, with heavier future rain, and with more green space?
What was looked at — REACHOUT computer flood maps for 15-minute downpours, from storms expected every 2 years to once in 200 years. For each building: how deep the water gets nearby, how many people live there, and how socially vulnerable they are.
Heavier rain puts more people at risk — In every case examined: a few percent more residents at risk in the middle scenario, up to about one in ten more in the high one. Today's once-in-100-years flooding could come roughly twice as often, or more. Destination Earth data support the middle scenario's order of magnitude.
The planned green measures help only a little — As REACHOUT modelled them, they cut the number of residents at risk by a few percent at most, only for frequent storms, and not at all for the biggest ones.
More green space helps — but not those who need it most — Turning all open space green takes roughly one in ten to one in five of the residents at risk out of risk, but mostly the less vulnerable; the most vulnerable fifth benefits least. They also have the least room for green: near their homes, about a quarter of the land that could be greened near the homes of the least vulnerable.
What it means, and what it cannot say — Plan measures first where vulnerable residents are at risk. For them, greening alone will likely not be enough: storage, drainage or protecting buildings may be needed. Re-check the planned measures with a model that includes sewers. Uncertainties are large, so the direction of each finding is more reliable than its size.
Heavier rain is expected; where measures are placed, and which kind, decides who they protect.""";
schema:about ;
schema:audience .
}
sub:provenance {
sub:assertion prov:generatedAtTime "2026-10-11T19:23:58.823997+00:00"^^xsd:dateTime;
prov:wasAttributedTo .
}
sub:pubinfo {
this: npx:supersedes ;
rdfs:label "Plain-language summary of the Logroño flood-adaptation synthesis (four findings) for citizens";
prov:generatedAtTime "2026-10-11T19:23:58.823997+00:00"^^xsd:dateTime;
prov:wasAttributedTo ;
ntemplate:wasCreatedFromTemplate .
sub:sig npx:hasAlgorithm "RSA";
npx:hasPublicKey "MIIBIjANBgkqhkiG9w0BAQEFAAOCAQ8AMIIBCgKCAQEAyuQ7Hi/zQ7hDZtMtLWK1JKU83Kgo8NqC+b8sxD5IoiekPctXVA8iM0zD/9pcp1txGXjX/fUj5HRUkOn4RVHP3fFa/3irQYpZFQ5fHRj8MQ7kJ6AEd1oggfajDevZGz63hj6Vigo+BNYBXqhcbWVAfLfbzQPAegce9zH6n9vTqKYMrwrSxPQdhoAcoaKOqY8gRiJgzekeEr+iEqa63X1HwWtYDs7X25a9xWbgaDSsRjzZGVUVOn1vYdSfWAaIw+EB9CiJfKm1zuXcur5PDziMW1pnZG6/NQtrA7AM3gLnoSoU3glkm5UhksGNqu2SV+j8oZLg7v6C5/sg2f6LIJMeFwIDAQAB";
npx:hasSignature "BJv7JdjguEU+BoEt9wkw5lAd7knUV8/rjwpHpZtlmumsPwb58lTtDm4yxMIQUCad6OkysZbG2dJF348tdWPFMaLGaNggGhgYSImUqkgXbmXgwrpnGgd5ec1dKCwnUtNtVlPryFYibRnjmh6JwwtTy09U2MwK23p+9jjPiMUuQp2a4LRDCFwL+H9a8pxw/gcaP2ukym7upe+RH41ZaEtMHbJiP+S4gXI/9dDrlO1z9d9agX+u1+Pygznymln/KNtyaemKtXzIo032Cpf5dNHH2voZw1PjvS2BZ7z7rZEz8pDYnoFt42AIGwPGMJgrGj5bU+aV0w7EMZ16aoFvpdUNlA==";
npx:hasSignatureTarget this:;
npx:signedBy .
}