https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/Head https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/assertion https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/provenance https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/pubinfo https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/assertion https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/citizens http://purl.org/dc/terms/creator https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/citizens http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type https://schema.org/CreativeWork https://w3id.org/np/RAz93ofHeIsBBpCs9MJsLkbV7KEfDy2VtAFyKr3bEB7Fc/citizens http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment Will heavy rain flood more homes in Logroño, and do green spaces help? For every residential building in Logroño: how many residents are at risk when a short, heavy downpour floods the streets — today, with heavier future rain, and with more green space? What was looked at — REACHOUT computer flood maps for 15-minute downpours, from storms expected every 2 years to once in 200 years. For each building: how deep the water gets nearby, how many people live there, and how socially vulnerable they are. Heavier rain puts more people at risk — In every case examined: a few percent more residents at risk in the middle scenario, up to about one in ten more in the high one. Today's once-in-100-years flooding could come roughly twice as often, or more. Destination Earth data support the middle scenario's order of magnitude. The planned green measures help only a little — As REACHOUT modelled them, they cut the number of residents at risk by a few percent at most, only for frequent storms, and not at all for the biggest ones. More green space helps — but not those who need it most — Turning all open space green takes roughly one in ten to one in five of the residents at risk out of risk, but mostly the less vulnerable; the most vulnerable fifth benefits least. They also have the least room for green: near their homes, about a quarter of the land that could be greened near the homes of the least vulnerable. What it means, and what it cannot say — Plan measures first where vulnerable residents are at risk. For them, greening alone will likely not be enough: storage, drainage or protecting buildings may be needed. Re-check the planned measures with a model that includes sewers. Uncertainties are large, so the direction of each finding is more reliable than its size. 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